McConnell health scare shifts 2028 chatter as Polymarket tags Vance at 20%
Mitch McConnell was hospitalized after a reported medical emergency, renewing scrutiny of Kentucky’s 2024 law requiring a special election if his seat becomes vacant before...
Leclerc wins chaotic British GP as Polymarket Golden Ball line holds at 50%
On Sunday, Charles Leclerc won the British Grand Prix for Ferrari after a late Safety Car, while Kimi Antonelli slipped from a likely win to...
Tech wobble lifts Polymarket odds of Fed holding rates in July to 89.5%
Technology stocks showed signs of wobbling as investors hunted for fresh Federal Reserve clues and watched what upcoming earnings might reveal about demand and pricing...
ESMA Warns Prediction Market Platforms Could Face Strict EU Financial Regulations
On July 3, ESMA issued a statement warning that some event contracts resembling binary options could fall under current derivatives regulation. The regulator stressed that...
$124T wealth transfer fuels crypto focus as Polymarket sees BTC >$50K 99.95%
Cerulli Associates says $124 trillion in U.S. household wealth is expected to change hands by 2048, potentially lifting long-run crypto demand as younger heirs hold...
Bitcoin tops $62K as crypto bill advances, Polymarket sees Fed hold at 89.5%
Bitcoin traded above $62,000 as a U.S. crypto bill gained fresh traction in Washington, refocusing attention on digital-asset policy. (Read More)...
Yemen clash dents Hormuz outlook as Polymarket puts July normalcy at 16%
A Yemeni official said Houthi forces killed 14 government troops in an attack south of Hodeidah near the Red Sea port. (Read More)...
Iran envoy hints at selective Hormuz fees as Polymarket odds jump to 68%
On Tuesday, an Iranian envoy said countries friendly to Tehran could get “special” treatment if fees are introduced for Strait of Hormuz use. (Read More)...
No Israel catalyst, Polymarket keeps Eizenkot lead at 37.9%
India’s Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar visited the Omkareshwar Jyotirlinga temple in Madhya Pradesh, with no Israel election linkage or policy signal. (Read More)...
Trump’s Salute to America speech leaves Polymarket 2028 GOP odds unchanged
During a live “Salute to America” program, President Donald Trump delivered featured remarks with no policy details released. (Read More)...