Polymarket odds lift to 85% for zero Fed cuts in 2026 ahead of meeting
August gold futures opened near $4,013 and later traded around $4,063 as investors looked to Wednesday’s Fed rate decision amid Middle East conflict and inflation...
Polymarket hikes Iran invasion odds to 28.5% as U.S.-Iran strikes persist
After the U.S. military completed an 11th night of strikes, reporting said operations could intensify near an underground area by a major Iranian nuclear site...
Bitcoin price avoids major Iran jitters as S&P 500 ‘short squeeze’ on horizon
Bitcoin and US stocks stayed strong in the face of US-Iran escalation as analysis predicted BTC price action outperforming equities later....
House Flip? Senate Hold? Prediction Markets Unleash Wild 2026 Midterm Election Bets
Prediction market traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing in a Democratic takeover of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms while giving Republicans the...
Polymarket odds put Eizenkot at 51% for Israel PM ahead of Likud vote
Likud members are set to vote Monday from 11:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m. on Benjamin Netanyahu’s proposal to hold party primaries, after repeated delays. (Read...
Polymarket odds for Hormuz traffic normalizing by Dec. 31 drop to 52.5%
A report says President Donald Trump warned the U.S. would destroy Iranian infrastructure after any ship attack in the Strait of Hormuz, as U.S. (Read...
A 1,900% Surge May Be Sending a Bigger Warning Than Oil Prices
A hidden cost of moving the world’s oil has exploded nearly 1,900%, Devere Group analysis shows, signaling a level of risk that some analysts say...
The digital euro: Surveillance money, or a better alternative to cash?
Proponents of the digital euro say its a better alternative to cash that’s fully backed by the ECB. But critics argue it could provide the...
Franklin Templeton calls agentic AI next ‘killer’ use case for blockchain
Franklin Templeton’s digital assets lead said that the autonomous AI agent economy will increase demand for blockchain protocols hosting machine-to-machine micropayments....
BIS Warns Stablecoins Are Breaking Capital Controls as Dollarization Accelerates
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) says U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoins are repeating a pattern central banks have watched for decades, and the regulatory tools that...